If it is early elections Congress will have an edge in the assembly elections. Why because,
- I hope Congress might add the tactic understand between the TRS & BJP when they go to the public. If they perfectly utilize this point Minority and Cristian votes may come back to Congress which has considerable presence in TG. In 2014 these sections had voted for TRS.
- NCBN will get the time to campaign in TG for his party. He may or may not get the considerable seats. But he will spoil the chances of TRS. Because most of the TDP leaders moved to TRS.
- Particularly KCR has good schemes in his kitty. Which might favor his return. But not sure as we are living in a polarized environment now. We never know how things play.
- My last pure math caluculation based on the numbers is, TG has 119 seats. 19 seats may go to MIM + TDP + CPI + CPM + BJP. Remaining split between TRS and Congress. Congress has good cader in all over the district but TRS is weak in Kammam,Nalgonda,Mahaboob Nagar and RR and greater Hyderabad Districts. If TRS fare well in these there is no doubt about coming back.
